标题： 旅游业对国民经济的贡献：希腊的证据 显示英文标题

标题： The Contribution of Tourism in National Economies: Evidence of Greece

摘要： 希腊是一个沿海国家，拥有许多地理形态、气候、文化和历史特点，有利于旅游业多个方面的发展。 在这一框架下，本文通过宏观分析应用实证数据，研究旅游业对希腊的影响以及这些影响的决定性程度，以估算旅游业对希腊经济的贡献。 可用的数据涉及希腊的国际收支记录以及无形收入的主要组成部分，在其中包含了可衡量的旅游业方面，即旅游外汇。 在可用数据的时间段（2000-2012年）内，区分出希腊近期历史中两个最重要的事件（2004年的奥运会和2009年开始的经济危机），并讨论了它们对旅游业历时演变的影响。 在总体评估下，分析表明旅游业是希腊经济的一个部门，表现出显著的韧性，但似乎尚未被提交到一个有效的开发计划，以利用该国的内生旅游业动态，目前建议其作为低风险的投资，有助于国家经济增长和摆脱经济危机。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Greece constitutes a coastal country with a lot of geomorphologic, climatic, cultural and historic peculiarities favoring the development of many aspects of tourism. Within this framework, this article examines what are the effects of tourism in Greece and how determinative these effects are, by applying a macroscopic analysis on empirical data for the estimation of the contribution of tourism in the Greek Economy. The available data regard records of the Balance of Payments in Greece and of the major components of the Balance of the Invisible Revenues, where a measurable aspect of tourism, the Travel or Tourism Exchange, is included. At the time period of the available data (2000-2012) two events of the recent Greek history are distinguished as the most significant (the Olympic Games in the year 2004 and the economic crisis initiated in the year 2009) and their impact on the diachronic evolution in the tourism is discussed. Under an overall assessment, the analysis illustrated that tourism is a sector of the Greek economy, which is described by a significant resilience, but it seems that it has not yet been submitted to an effective developmental plan exploiting the endogenous tourism dynamics of the country, suggesting currently a promising investment of low risk for the economic growth of country and the exit of the economic crisis